DATA SPOTLIGHT: United States of America

14 April, 2020

This year The Blue Swan Daily will feature some of the leading airlines, airports and country markets for air travel. Here, using the extensive profile insights available to CAPA - Centre for Aviation members to deliver a data snapshot, we look at United States of America (USA), where there remains a noticeable disconnect between announced capacity cuts and capacity levels that remain in published schedules.

A CAPA - Centre for Aviation report last week, entitled 'COVID 19: US airlines face complexity in cutting capacity', highlighted that while analysis of OAG data shows US domestic ASKs to have reduced by approaching a third for the current week (week commencing 13-Apr-2020), which while significant, is not proportional to announced changes.

In fact, it shows that Frontier Airlines is operating with an increase in domestic ASKs. Reasons for this lag in published capacity reductions is identified as repatriation flights - which probably accounts for a fraction of what appears as elevated capacity - but more significantly airlines performing a high degree of same day cancellations.

Ultimately though, it appears that it is simply taking some time for published schedules to correlate with planned airline capacity cuts, as our own analysis of the latest update for this week's schedules show a more significant cut in planned schedules for the period.

AIRPORTS IN THE COUNTRY

ANNUAL VISITOR ARRIVALS (2009 - 2019)

VISITOR ARRIVALS BY MARKET (2019)

MONTHLY VISITOR ARRIVALS AND SEASONALITY IN DEMAND (2015 - 2019)

SCHEDULE MOVEMENT SUMMARY (w/c 13-Apr-2020)

ANNUAL CAPACITY (2012 - 2020*)NOTE:*the values for this year are at least partly predictive up to six months and may be subject to change.

WEEKLY DOMESTIC CAPACITY (2017 - 2020*)NOTE:*the values for this year are at least partly predictive up to six months and may be subject to change.

WEEKLY INTERNATIONAL CAPACITY (2017-2020*)NOTE:*the values for this year are at least partly predictive up to six months and may be subject to change.