- Philippine Airlines has generated high load factors on Auckland-Manila since the nonstop route launched in Dec-2017;
- Philippine Airlines could increase capacity on the route by 22% later this year by introducing A330-300s;
- The A330 would also significantly improve the product in both business and economy and introduce a premium economy option;
- Philippine Airlines has been able to grow local traffic between Auckland and Manila as well as attract sixth freedom traffic between Auckland and China.
PAL launched three weekly nonstop flights from Auckland to Manila on 4-Dec-2017, using 254-seat A340-300s. PAL president Jaime Bautista told Blue Swan, the airline’s load factor on Auckland-Manila was above 90% in Dec-2017, the first month it operated, and above 80% in Jan-2018. While those are peak months, Mr Bautista said forward bookings are encouraging and the airline believes the route may be able to support 309-seat A330-300s.
PAL is looking for new routes for its fleet of eight retrofitted 309-seat three-class A330-300s after the aircraft is replaced with new A321neos on the Melbourne-Manila and Sydney-Melbourne routes later this year. “Maybe we can fly the A330 to New Zealand. It’s one possibility,” Mr Bautista said.
PAL currently operates seven retrofitted A330s with an eighth and final aircraft now in the process of being retrofitted. Introducing the A330 will enable PAL to significantly improve its product in the Auckland market in both economy and business while introducing a premium economy option. PAL’s newly retrofitted A330-300s feature 24 lie flat business class seats, 18 premium economy seats and 26 economy seats with seatback IFE monitors in all cabins.
PAL’s A340-300s have 36 recliner style business class seats and 218 regular economy seats. Both products are outdated with overhead screens in economy.
PAL previously served Auckland with four weekly flights one-stop flights via Cairns using 156-seat A320s. Cairns was dropped entirely as most of PAL’s traffic on the Auckland-Cairns-Manila route since it launched in late 2015 was through traffic from Auckland to Manila rather than Cairns-Manila traffic or fifth freedom Auckland-Cairns traffic.
PAL has been able to attract more Auckland-Manila traffic by offering a more convenient nonstop product. Mr Bautista said PAL also has been able to attract sixth freedom traffic beyond Manila, particularly in the Auckland-China market.
PAL links Manila with five destinations in mainland China – Beijing, Guangzhou, Quanzhou, Shanghai and Xiamen. Quick connections are available from Manila to all the Chinese destinations except Guangzhou.
China is the second largest source market for the New Zealand tourism industry with 411,000 visitors in the year ending Oct-2017. The Philippines is the twentieth largest source market for the New Zealand tourism industry with 23,000 visitors in the year ending Oct-2017. However, Filipino visitor numbers to New Zealand are growing faster than Chinese visitor numbers – with a 20% increase in the year ending Oct-2017. PAL and Tourism New Zealand signed a partnership agreement in Nov-2017, just prior to the launch of nonstop flights, aimed at further increasing Filipino visitor arrivals to New Zealand.
PAL will need to attract even more local and connecting traffic to fill an A330. PAL plans to maintain three weekly flights, resulting in a 22% capacity increase when the A330 is introduced.
However, the A330 has the advantage of lower operating costs as it burns less fuel. With the recent increase in fuel prices, operating A340s have become even less attractive. Mr Bautistia said PAL recently retired one of its A340s, leaving it with five of the type.
PAL plans to phase out its last A340 by the end of 2019 – meaning that eventually Auckland will need to be upgraded to A330s if the nonstop route is to be maintained. Mr Bautista said reverting back to a one-stop service via Australia is not an option.
The idea was to launch Auckland-Manila with A340s with the hope of building enough traffic to support A330s within three years. The route is preforming better than expected, making an upgrade to A330s a likely scenario for 4Q2018.