Tourism Research Australia reported (Apr-2021) the following highlights for the short term outlook of domestic tourism:
- Under the most likely scenario, the number of visitor nights for 2020 is expected to be 243.6 million nights, a 42% year-on-year decrease. For 2021, a most likely scenario predicts 327.5 million domestic nights for 2021, down 25%;
- Continued improvement between 2020 and 2021 is predicted, resulting in 34.4% higher visitor nights in 2021 than 2020, from a much lower base;
- Under the optimistic scenario, 2020 sees 279.2 million nights, and expects an improvement to 399.6 million visitor nights in 2021. This scenario shows a near full recovery by 4Q2021;
- Under a pessimistic scenario the 2020 figure is just 212.3 million nights, and visitation of 245.6 million nights in 2021, down 43.7%.